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Who you picking at UFC on Fuel TV: Barao vs McDonald?

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fightpredictor

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I only have 4 picks on this card.

Barao over McDonald. 1 unit at 1.34 to 1 (-275)
Poirier over Swanson. 1 unit at 2.04 to 1 (+104)
Riddle over Mills. 1 unit at 3.04 to 1 (+204)
Sass over Castillo. 1 unit at 1.83 to 1 (-115)

Why is Riddle such a huge underdog and who do you have picked?

Last edited 2/13/13 8:55PM server time by grappler0000
Edit note/reason: self promotion

Post #1   2/13/13 8:27:27PM   

sparky

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I took Mills but I wont be surprised if Riddle wins

Post #2   2/13/13 8:45:42PM   

Budgellism

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Posted by sparky

I took Mills but I wont be surprised if Riddle wins



Same here.

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Post #3   2/13/13 8:50:11PM   

fightpredictor

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Funny how the odds on this site favour Riddle, while he is a huge underdog on the betting websites.

Post #4   2/13/13 10:35:27PM   

JLS1980

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I like Barao and Poirier. I think Poirier vs Swanson is the HB for a reason and I think could go either way.

Also siding with Che Mills. If Riddle decides to stand and trade, it should go in Mills favor. I think Riddle will have the clear wrestling/ground game advantage.

Honestly I think the real odds are a little out of whack in Mills favor. If I was making the odds I'd have Mills a -170 favorite.

Post #5   2/13/13 11:14:28PM   

jae_1833

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Riddle has bad fighter IQ and a lot of us can see him (and are predicting) getting hit hard and going back to a bang out situation with Mills...that would most likely lead to Mills KOing him. Plus most of us just don't like him I am guessing.

Post #6   2/14/13 12:11:07AM   

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Posted by fightpredictor

Funny how the odds on this site favour Riddle, while he is a huge underdog on the betting websites.


the odds on this site have nothing to do with real life lines, most of the time it is very far off. It's based on the number of people who have already made their picks by the time this event is open for bidding and does not move once it's been posted

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Post #7   2/14/13 12:26:58AM   

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Posted by fightpredictor

Funny how the odds on this site favour Riddle, while he is a huge underdog on the betting websites.


Everybody here is smoking Riddle's hydro

Last edited 2/14/13 9:53AM server time by airkerma
Edit note/reason: n/a

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Post #8   2/14/13 9:53:14AM   

prozacnation1978

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I got all same picks as you
Still picking. I like mcdonald a lot
Taught myself not to go with favorites

Post #9   2/14/13 2:32:53PM   

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Posted by fightpredictor

I only have 4 picks on this card.

Barao over McDonald. 1 unit at 1.34 to 1 (-275)
Poirier over Swanson. 1 unit at 2.04 to 1 (+104)
Riddle over Mills. 1 unit at 3.04 to 1 (+204)
Sass over Castillo. 1 unit at 1.83 to 1 (-115)

Why is Riddle such a huge underdog and who do you have picked?



Why don't you make all your picks?

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Post #10   2/14/13 2:36:48PM   

tcunningham

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Posted by fightpredictor

Funny how the odds on this site favour Riddle, while he is a huge underdog on the betting websites.



guys like riddle are overlooked a lot because of the name they are fighting. the fact is riddle is a great wrestler who can keep a great pace. the possibility of him taking down the UK fighter is high, and once he's down his grappling could prove to be too much for che. riddle can grind out a win here

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Post #11   2/14/13 2:46:06PM   

fightpredictor

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Posted by Bubbles


Posted by fightpredictor

Funny how the odds on this site favour Riddle, while he is a huge underdog on the betting websites.


the odds on this site have nothing to do with real life lines, most of the time it is very far off. It's based on the number of people who have already made their picks by the time this event is open for bidding and does not move once it's been posted



Oh cool that makes sense. Thanks man

Post #12   2/14/13 9:23:54PM   

fightpredictor

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Posted by jjeans


Posted by fightpredictor

I only have 4 picks on this card.

Barao over McDonald. 1 unit at 1.34 to 1 (-275)
Poirier over Swanson. 1 unit at 2.04 to 1 (+104)
Riddle over Mills. 1 unit at 3.04 to 1 (+204)
Sass over Castillo. 1 unit at 1.83 to 1 (-115)

Why is Riddle such a huge underdog and who do you have picked?



Why don't you make all your picks?



I use an advanced statistical model. On a card like this, there is limited stats on many of the fighters. On the bigger cards I usually have 9 or 10 picks.

Post #13   2/14/13 9:24:45PM   

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Posted by fightpredictor


Posted by jjeans


Posted by fightpredictor

I only have 4 picks on this card.

Barao over McDonald. 1 unit at 1.34 to 1 (-275)
Poirier over Swanson. 1 unit at 2.04 to 1 (+104)
Riddle over Mills. 1 unit at 3.04 to 1 (+204)
Sass over Castillo. 1 unit at 1.83 to 1 (-115)

Why is Riddle such a huge underdog and who do you have picked?



Why don't you make all your picks?



I use an advanced statistical model. On a card like this, there is limited stats on many of the fighters. On the bigger cards I usually have 9 or 10 picks.


this is just a fantasy game with no real world consequences. You can make all of your picks. What you are talking about is betting, which is a little different than just picking winners (and outcome of fight)

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Post #14   2/14/13 10:31:23PM   

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I feel like Sass wins by submission. Riddle is talking like Bisping and hes gonna get knocked out like him.

I like Cub against Porier. Cub has become super dangerous with his new footwork.

I like Macdonald too. He literally has no chance but a KO imo, but I think he will make Bareo slug and get the KO.

Post #15   2/15/13 6:35:12AM   
 
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