UFC on FOX 5 odds: Champ Henderson opens as heavy favorite over Diaz |
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Randy is King
Career record: 975-580
Season: 19-5 (#98)
Location: Ontario
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The oddsmakers are heavily favoring UFC lightweight champion Benson Henderson in his next title defense.
As MMAjunkie.com (www.mmajunkie.com) first reported Wednesday, Henderson (17-2 MMA, 5-0 UFC) meets top contender Nate Diaz (16-7 MMA, 11-5 UFC) in the headliner of December's UFC on FOX 5 event.
Noted and influential MMA oddsmaker Joey Oddessa has set an opening "Odessa line" with Henderson at -340 and Diaz at +260, which makes the champ an approximate 3-to-1 favorite.
Henderson, who defended his belt for the first time with a narrow split-decision victory over ex-champ Frankie Edgar this past weekend at UFC 150, returns Dec. 8 for his network-televised main event with Diaz. The challenger earned his title shot with three consecutive victories, including a decision win over Donald Cerrone and then a submission victory over Jim Miller earlier this year in the UFC on FOX 3 headliner.
Oddessa, though, points to the Cerrone fight as a possible reason people are overvaluing Diaz.
"If Nate Diaz and Donald Cerrone didn't have a gentleman's agreement to stand and bang, Diaz wouldn't be fighting Henderson at UFC on FOX 5," Oddessa, who can be found on Twitter at @mmaodds, told MMAjunkie.com. "I think Cerrone hurt him in the first round and decided not to pursue finishing him on the ground. That was his downfall."
Diaz, though, has the conditioning for deeper rounds, and his constant barrage of punches should present a unique challenge to Henderson.
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Post #1 8/16/12 3:11:25PM
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Randy is King
Career record: 975-580
Season: 19-5 (#98)
Location: Ontario
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I know the lines will even out a bit but this is just crazy. Bendo at -340? Seriously? I'd be betting a hefty amount on Diaz with his odds.
Last edited 8/16/12 3:19PM by budgellism
Edit note/reason: n/a
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"If you don't like me that's fine, but you're wrong and I hate you."
"I smoke herbs bro. Mind control bullshit doesn't work on people who smoke herbs."
Deathsquad bitches.
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Post #2 8/16/12 3:12:27PM
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KE Released in MAtter
Career record: 607-362
Season: 20-4 (#268)
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I have to agree budge, he definitely didn't have the showing this weekend to prompt such a large line. It may even out a week or so before hand, but I doubt he drops below -250.
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Post #3 8/16/12 3:24:36PM
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The Playground OG
Career record: 647-454
Season: 18-6 (#794)
Location: Lake Jackson, Texas
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Like I said stylistically Bendo isn't a good match for Diaz.
Diaz is going to have problems.
I'll be betting on Bendo
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Post #4 8/16/12 3:49:32PM
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Goatenstein
Standup Guy
Career record: 219-150
Season: 19-5 (#659)
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This is one of the most ridiculous things I've ever seen. Diaz wins easily.
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Post #5 8/16/12 4:01:05PM
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REBEL WITH A CAUSE
Career record: 820-501
Season: 20-4 (#127)
Location: Milwaukie, Oregon
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Posted by Goatenstein
This is one of the most ridiculous things I've ever seen. Diaz wins easily.
I feel that saying either one wins "easily" means your selling the other guy short. Imo, whoever wins will have to work for it
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Post #6 8/16/12 4:37:41PM
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infestructure
MMA Sensei
Career record: 269-174
Season: 19-5 (#118)
Location: New Zealand
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Agree Prophecy, this is an interesting matchup stylistically, as Bendo is gonna have to figure out a way to deal with 10,000 slaps a minute
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Post #7 8/16/12 5:01:16PM
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Twenty20Dollars
Heavyweight Champ
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Post #8 8/16/12 6:24:42PM
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Heavyweight Champ
Career record: 976-534
Season: 19-5 (#188)
Location: Coon Rapids, Minnesota
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Those odds will come back down closer to fight time. My guess is that Bendo will be a slight favorite. Maybe around -150, -200 tops.
I think Ben plays it smart, and uses his wrestling. Diaz definitely wins the stand up battle, and Ben has been dropped a few times, albeit recovered well each time. Diaz can threaten with subs from the bottom, but we all know teh kingsmasher has a better chance at earning a top poster badge, then Bendo getting submitted. 
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What you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in the playground is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no props, and may the mods have mercy on your soul.
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Post #9 8/16/12 6:29:14PM
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hymiekooken
MMA Regular
Career record: 155-126
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Posted by infestructure
Agree Prophecy, this is an interesting matchup stylistically, as Bendo is gonna have to figure out a way to deal with 10,000 slaps a minute
And those do add up, especially if Diaz wants to / is able to keep it standing.
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Post #10 8/16/12 7:03:25PM
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Remember Paul Herrera
Career record: 1017-538
Season: 20-4 (#60)
Location: You think you can tell heaven from hell?
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Henderson is already under -200.
Those odds were a steal, and that Odessa guy's logic was terrible at best.
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Post #11 8/16/12 7:06:38PM
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Combat Sport and Fitness
Career record: 375-265
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Location: Mean streets of Enumclaw, WA
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im gonna go with bendo. i dont see diaz submitting him, and i see bendo out working him everywhere else. diaz has great cardio but that doesnt mean he cant be out worked.
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Post #12 8/16/12 7:11:05PM
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lohmann
A Black Belt in Jiu-Jitsu
Career record: 849-469
Season: 19-5 (#209)
Location: United States
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Posted by Pookie
Henderson is already under -200.
Those odds were a steal, and that Odessa guy's logic was terrible at best.
Agreed.
If there was any logic to apply to such suspiciously wrong odds, the fights that Nate Diaz has lost while a UFC fighter would be the best ones to point to.
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Post #13 8/16/12 7:16:11PM
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Super MW King S.O.G.
Career record: 443-236
Season: 19-5 (#221)
Location: Stockton Ca.
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Posted by Budgellism
I know the lines will even out a bit but this is just crazy. Bendo at -340? Seriously? I'd be betting a hefty amount on Diaz with his odds.
Me 2 Budge, those odds are kinda outrageous
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Post #14 8/16/12 11:20:08PM
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FlashyG
MMA Sensei
Career record: 913-492
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Location: Toronto
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I think Bendo will win the fight, but with those odds you'd be crazy not to put at least a little on Diaz.
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Post #15 8/16/12 11:27:48PM
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