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Mir's chances
Mir's chances |
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candynuts
In Full Mount
Career record: 67-52
Season: 56-45 (#2264)
Location: Wherever I am at need...
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Watching Nog outstrike Herring (excluding that leg kick) scares me to want to pick Mir. To me Mir is at a distinct disadvantage on their feet.
However, with a long time to prepare for this fight, I think Mir will have good enough cardio to last 5 rounds if needed. Both as a Mir and a Nog fan, im kinda torn to pick who to pick at the moment but I do believe Mir's chances at winning would be somewhere between 15-20%. I think he could be able to control Nog if Mir is able to take him down. But then again, Mir does not have the GnP of Fedor, so I dont see him stopping Nog. Maybe Nog should try to keep it standing where he knows he ultimately has the advantage of just mainly a BJJ much like he did in the Werdum fight.
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Post #16 5/16/08 11:38:08PM
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Mchubb316
In Full Mount
Career record: 172-95
Season: 68-33 (#272)
Location: Southern Oregon
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Posted by MFOTHER
Although once a great HW champ, people seeme to have written off Mir after his accident. Although i'm not sure he should have been first in line for the belt, i'm wondering if all the recent attention he's gotten snce the Brock fight, could re energize Mir, and motivate him to work hard for his title shot.
Im sure most people will say it wont matter, (i agree Nog has him beat pretty much everywhere) but i hink if anything is going to get him going again, its that huge profile win, and TUF.
ultimately i think with his overall skill and knowledge of the sport, he has a much better chance of winning the TUF season as a coach, than the fight afterwards.
Nog is just better than Mir at just about everything. The gap in Talent is not overwheming in one area, but he just is that much better in more skills than Mir.
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Post #17 5/17/08 12:27:50AM
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MFOTHER
Standup Guy
Career record: 38-22
Season: 38-22 (#5472)
Location: FL
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basically what i meant by this thread was .... a fighters can be invigorated be crtain things, and put them into a new mindset, and turn ther careers around. I think TUF has done that. Serra is a prime example, as well as pulver (being ready to stop fighting, then doing TUF and wining however many straight at the lower weight class)
Although mir has been O.K lately, i think TUF could bring out a new passion for trying to get back on track....will it be enough? who knows....but its a lot more exciting fight imo.
Having a huge amount of time to train isnt gonna hurt either
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Post #18 5/18/08 7:07:21PM
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Pookie
MMA Sensei
Career record: 151-74
Season: 65-36 (#896)
Location: 707
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Nog 95 % of the time.
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Post #19 5/19/08 12:35:54AM
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decken
Learning to Sprawl
Career record: 57-32
Season: 37-21 (#5303)
Location: Idaho
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I really like this fight to bad we have to wait 7 months for it. I really want MIr to win. For some odd reason I have never been a fan of NOG. Maybe its because NOG's fights always remind me of Rocky 2 or Karate KId like movies where the Protagonist is losing the fight then Magically wins at the end. With that said I give the edge to NOG I think he has the edge on everything but wrestling.
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Post #20 5/19/08 8:31:03AM
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