Pick'em Leagues: THE BIG SHOW CASUAL BEST OF THE REST Single Event PvP: FANTASY POOLS Betting Leagues: THE BIG SHOW BEST OF THE REST

More stats for thought...

Print  
Posted By Message

jiujitsufreak74

,,[],, *******,,[],,

jiujitsufreak74 Avatar
8
 
 
 


 
 
Posts:5,256
Career:1,056-572
Joined:Sep 2007
Chips:
1,150
as some of you may remember, i made a topic about a year ago compiling the results from the past 15 UFC events (including finales and fight nights) at the time and breaking them down. well, i got bored again and decided to pick up where i left off, encompassing the past 35 UFC events including the Fight Nights and TUF Finales. This time around i counted catch weights (which i will clarify below) so i went back and added the Franklin vs Wandy fight to my old data that i skipped last time around. anyway, here are my results:




Now, here are some things i thought i should mention before going into the breakdown:

*There were 2 fights that were not counted because of DQ. One was Riddle vs Soto and the other was Jones vs Hamill
*Kongo's victory over Buentello was via submission due to strikes (HW Sub)
*Krzystof's victory of Bonnar was a TKO via cut (LHW TKO)
*Elkins' victory over Ludwig was TKO injury (WW TKO)
*Stephens victory over Bucholtz was a TKO via cut (LW TKO)
*The Diaz Markham fight was a catch weight that i counted as WW (WW TKO)
*JDS victory over CC was via submission due to strikes (HW Sub)
*Stevenson's victory over Fisher was via submission due to strikes (LW Sub)
*Belcher vs Gouveia was a catch weight that i counted as MW (MW TKO)
*Munoz's victory over Jensen was via submissions due to strikes (MW Sub)
*Griffin vs Franca was a catch weight that i counted as LW (LW TKO)
*Uno vs Camoes was a draw and was not counted
*Lentz vs Tavares was a draw and was not counted
*Vitor vs Franklin was a catch weight that i counted as MW (MW TKO)
*Miller vs Lopez was TKO injury (LW TKO)
*Hazelett vs Daley was a catch weight that i counted as WW (WW TKO)
*Kimbo vs Houston was a catch weight that i counted as LHW (LHW Dec)
*Neer vs Tibau was a catch weight i counted as LW (LW Dec)
*BJ Penn's victory over Diego was via cut (LW TKO)
*Salter's victory over MacDonald was TKO injury (MW TKO)
*Johnson vs Yoshida was a catch weight i counted as WW (WW TKO)
*Lennox's victory over Villefort was TKO via cut (WW TKO)
*Simpson's victory over Herman was TKO injury (MW TKO)

OK, now that the little things are pointed out, let's break it down haha (i rounded to the tenths place, so percents might not add perfectly to 100):

Analysis:

-HW...........65.2% (T)KO........15.2% SUB........19.6% Decision

-LHW........42.4% (T)KO........10.2%SUB.........47.5% Decision

-MW..........30.4% (T)KO........30.4% SUB.........39.1% Decision

-WW..........34.4% (T)KO........18.3% SUB........47.3% Decision

-LW...........19.4% (T)KO........32.7% SUB........48.0% Decision

-LWs and WWs are still getting way more fights than the rest of the weight classes, making up 52.3% of the total UFC fights
-LHWs have started to get Decisions like crazy lately, as the percentage went from 33.3% to 47.5% in just about a year.
-LHWs still rarely get subs, and HWs also rarely get subs as 2 of the submissions at HW were via strikes.
-LW and WW fights go to Decision nearly 50 percent of the time.
-The data here supports the claim that smaller fighters have less KOs than larger fighters and vice-versa
-HWs fights have 2:1 odds that there is going to be a KO.
-MWs are shockingly spread out as one would infer. i mean, it is crazy how close the results were to being split exactly evenly between the 3 categories.



if there is anything else you guys would like to add feel free haha

Last edited 6/9/10 10:08PM server time by jiujitsufreak74
Edit note/reason: n/a
2 total post edits

Post #1   6/9/10 4:45:59AM   

lohmann

A Black Belt in Jiu-Jitsu

lohmann Avatar
7
 
 
 
 


 
 
Posts:1,929
Career:1,724-935
Joined:Jun 2007
Camp: The Ringers
Chips:
365
Definitely reinforces why people like watching heavyweights and light heavyweights more than the other classes.

I find it interesting that welterweights seem so odd. The way KOs and submissions would be placed graphically according to weight classes would be strictly linear if not for welterweight.

Post #2   6/9/10 5:00:37AM   

MMA_Alex

MMA Regular

 
 
 


 
 
Posts:213
Career:628-325
Joined:Feb 2008
Camp: Ultimate Fighter Top Team
Chips:
28
I like watching all weight classes, but I'd say I actually like watching the lighter weights more than the heavier ones, just because of how fast and explosive those matches can be.

Post #3   6/9/10 9:45:25AM   

Jackelope

Go ahead, MOD my day

Jackelope Avatar
4



 
 
 


 
 
Posts:7,224
Career:864-486
Joined:Jan 2007
Chips:
1,202
Basically it is almost exactly how you'd figure it would be.

One thing I'm curious about is how this would play out across the entire spectrum of professional MMA. One can't help but wonder with such a small pool of fighters if we're getting a unique set of percentages based on the people fighting, or if it applies in general to all folks of these weight classes.

Post #4   6/9/10 12:21:23PM   

jiujitsufreak74

,,[],, *******,,[],,

jiujitsufreak74 Avatar
8
 
 
 


 
 
Posts:5,256
Career:1,056-572
Joined:Sep 2007
Chips:
1,150

Posted by Jackelope

Basically it is almost exactly how you'd figure it would be.

One thing I'm curious about is how this would play out across the entire spectrum of professional MMA. One can't help but wonder with such a small pool of fighters if we're getting a unique set of percentages based on the people fighting, or if it applies in general to all folks of these weight classes.




not to mention if the UFC rules/cage effect the data as well. maybe one day i'll do it across all of MMA, but i will have to be really really bored haha.

and on a serious note i agree that it pretty much went as expected, however, the amount of decisions LHWs have been getting into lately is shocking to me. of the past 20 UFC events, LHWs went to decision 59.4% (19/32) of the time.

Post #5   6/9/10 3:28:33PM   

mshalosky

Standup Guy

mshalosky Avatar
1
 
 
 


 
 
Posts:277
Career:362-216
Joined:Feb 2009
Chips:
36
I am pretty sure you dont mean Ludwigs victory over Ludwig.

Post #6   6/9/10 7:52:23PM   

mshalosky

Standup Guy

mshalosky Avatar
1
 
 
 


 
 
Posts:277
Career:362-216
Joined:Feb 2009
Chips:
36
I love the lighter divisions but it is crazy that about 50 percent of them go to decision. I wonder what the percents would be like if you added in Bantamweight and Featherweight. It would seem that there would be even more decisions like 60 percent. But, there is also a drop in level of competition as well so that could affect it.

Post #7   6/9/10 8:01:32PM   

jiujitsufreak74

,,[],, *******,,[],,

jiujitsufreak74 Avatar
8
 
 
 


 
 
Posts:5,256
Career:1,056-572
Joined:Sep 2007
Chips:
1,150

Posted by mshalosky

I am pretty sure you dont mean Ludwigs victory over Ludwig.



haha yeah sorry i must have just gotten bleary eyed. i'll change it to Elkins over Ludwig

Post #8   6/9/10 10:08:09PM   

mshalosky

Standup Guy

mshalosky Avatar
1
 
 
 


 
 
Posts:277
Career:362-216
Joined:Feb 2009
Chips:
36

haha yeah sorry i must have just gotten bleary eyed. i'll change it to Elkins over Ludwig

Well it kinda was Ludwig losing to himself.

Post #9   6/9/10 11:12:35PM   

tcunningham

Combat Sport and Fitness

tcunningham Avatar
2

 
 
 


 
 
Posts:3,381
Career:540-380
Joined:Sep 2009
Chips:
672
it doesn't seem weird that the heavy classes have more KO's. i enjoy the heavy classes but i have to say i like the lighter classes a bit more. the action never stops. nothing against HW's and LHW's i just like to see a fast pace fight.

_______________________________________

Post #10   6/10/10 2:34:01PM