Posted by kbogarto
I like sherk a lot in interviews and his record is amazing, but its frustrating to watch a fighter who cant finish fights. This fight is a toss up i think and i hope BJ wins but if it goes pass the second round its going to be Sherk. BJ will be too tired and Sherk will be too slipperly to submit.
If BJ can take Sherks back, being slippery will actually help BJ's arm get under Sherks chin for a rear naked. Anyways, here's my analysis.
This is a really tuff fight to call. Penn is the only guy I can see right now in the LW division as even having a chance at dethroning Sherk.
Although Sherk may not be the biggest crowd pleaser, he is probably the strongest, best conditioned, and most dominant LW out there. I'm pretty sure Sherk will have no problem controlling where this fight goes. Knowing that, we can all pretty must rest assured that this fight is going straight to the ground.
That being said, i'm pretty sure that Penn is just as comfortable on the ground, if not more so than standing. Sherk is known for putting his opponents on their backs and Penn is known for having a excellent rubber guard. I believe this could leave Sherk very susceptible to a triangle choke.
Penn has five rounds to pull something off and I don't see Sherk being able to win by any other way than a decision. He's already known for not being a finisher, and I never like to make excuses for a fighter but Penn has only been stopped once in an occurance in which I think the broken rib played a large factor.
Therefore, the way I see this fight going is Sherk dominating and controling the fight until he gets caught in either a triangle or rear naked in the second. round.