Posted by DJRokyManson
I completely understand your point. As much as I'd like it to happen as well, I don't see the mods doubling the win money on the hot bout.
Keep in mind, you obviously know what you are doing here on MMAPlayground. You are betting smart and your 83% winning percentage shows your extensive MMA knowledge.
We are only up to the second event of the season. The guy that surpassed you in the earning rankings is going to blindly put everything on the biggest underdog on the next card and lose everything. I have a feeling you are going rise back up in the rankings within the next couple events.
I must say, great call on picking Noke. He looked damn impressive. If I had known he was with Greg Jackson, I wouldn't have picked Kleinbeck.
I sent the link to this thread to two mods before I went to sleep, and though they haven't replied back, i'd really like to know what they think, even if they don't change anything. Things like what happened are depressing, because I had all kinds of stress on me in picking Noke, because it was the hot bout. The people who went and spread across the underdogs thought about it for five minutes at the most.
I know there are going to be some of the people who jumped to the top of the list with a Noons bet, that are going to either pick wrong, or once again spread across the underdogs. I am currently at the belief that out of the EliteXC event and the Strikeforce, there is a less of a chance of an underdog upset on the Strikeforce event than the other.. What i'm worried about though is that the Noons situation will come up again at some point this season, and I feel that if i'm not risking my money, to gain lots of money, then i'm going to get behind. The more someone makes money, and the more successful someone is, the farther the earnings will spread, and it's better to be near the top early on, because with a comfortable amount of money, you could easily pad your money by picking moderately favored fighters. Now's not that time though..
As for picking Noke.. I didn't know anything about him being part of team Jackson while in America until they said it last night. I was like, "wow, that's quite something for your first fight on American TV." My basis was on how Noke did in his 13 wins, compared to what Kleinbeck did in his 8. My biggest proponent for picking Noke was his draw with Hector Lombard. That's not an easy accomplishment for any "small time" fighter, so that meant he was ready for EliteXC.. Just drawing Hector Lombard though wasn't the exact reason I picked him. If you look up a fight description for the Noke/Lombard fight, you'll see that Noke was basically in the situation he was in the first round with Kleinbeck.
He was trying to find his range, and learn what he needed to do to defeat his opponent. If that means take a beating for one round, then that's necessary. Kyle most likely knew that Hector is well known for not having as great a conditioning as some more experienced fighters out there.. For this reason, as long as he paced himself and forced Hector to work more, he would eventually tire Lombard out. Add in the surprise subs that were on display against Kleinbeck to catch Lombard off guard, and force him to work to escape them. Eventually around the final minute of the second round, Lombard was in survival mode. Kyle basically dominated Lombard from this point on. I don't know the exact reason why it was a draw, but in the end, all I needed to know in finalizing my bet with Noke was that he gets better as the fight progresses.
Upon that thinking, I watched the fight to see if it were true, and you can see Noke gradually get better against Kleinbeck. I didn't have the volume on, so I was asking my buddy Sticksta13 if Noke had one, because they were standing up. Then Noke raised his arms in the air, and I just started going nuts and congratulating myself. It was short lived though, because Noons won.
Posted by tuvok500
I think that the secondary league is the perfect place to try something like that !!
Agreed. Test it out, and see how it works in the SL, and make a decision on whether or not to incorporate it into the PL, keep it in just the SL, or get rid of it all together. They are always asking for ways that they can improve this place, and this is the best thing I can see happening at the moment.
Posted by DJRokyManson
The level of MMA knowledge amongst the regular secondary league players is much higher than those that are just betting and picking the UFC fights. I highly doubt any of the current secondary league leaders will be anywhere near the top by the 5th event of the season.
Yeah, it'll be hard for people who risk their money on underdogs, or spread across the board to survive against guys like myself, Stickan, wolfman, and others who know how to bet smart. Don't mess with the Teacher/Student team of Stickan, and Scott_Revels! (yeah, i'm the student.)