Posted by airkerma
Posted by ghandikush
Werdum would probably just easily take Struve down and lay for 3-5 rounds.
Where do you get this from? When was the last time Werdum LnPed anyone? I agree Struve may have a disadvantage keeping it standing based on his height, but I don't think it would be an LnP. Struve has great subs, but he has yet to get into a grappling war with a black belt like Werdum. Werdum also doesn't have the greatest take downs, so if Struve can keep his distance or keep it against the cage he should be safe.
He wont be safe. Werdums not scared of anyones striking game really. Werdum should be able to get top position but will have a hell of a time landing anything or passing Sruves lanky guard. It's simple physical standpoint.
You dont pass a lanky guard if a guy has great fundamentals and obviously youre not subbing them while in their guard. I see a snowballs chance that Struve is able to sub Werdum ever. If he tries toward the end of the fight maybe that will be Werdums chance to pass/do damage.
Overall I see it like this, Struve has a chance for a knockout, but only at the starts of the rounds and in scrambles up. Werdum has a chance for a sub maybe or for a knockout on the ground, but only if Struve is being offensive and giving up position. And overall the control time should be all in Werdums hands.
So..... aside from a flash finish from either its a decision win for werdum. Thats just my assessment.