I was actually waiting for you to post that, Jackelope. I was going to say something about Jackson's master game-planning but I said to myself "I KNOW Jackelope is going to way in with his Jackson comments" so I figured I would wait and see what you had to say.
That's going to be the biggest reason I pick Carwin coming into a fight with a man who hasn't fought in a year. Carwin's natural size, ability, strength, and knockout power, coupled with Jackson's game-planning, IMO, spell disaster for Lesnar. Though, Jackelope, it's funny you mention leg-kicks from Carwin, because the Lesnar's camp has been adding them to his resume.
Lesnar Adding Kicks